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Flights - Brazil

Brazil

By 2024, the Flights market in Brazil is expected to reach a revenue of US$10.93bn.
The projected annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2028) is 2.55%, which would result in a market volume of US$12.09bn by 2028.
It is estimated that the number of users in this market will amount to 27.08m users by 2028.
The user penetration is projected to be 12.2% in 2024 and 12.2% by 2028.
Moreover, the average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to be US$0.41k.
In the Flights market in Brazil, it is projected that 87% of the total revenue will be generated through online sales by 2028.
However, in global comparison, China is expected to generate the most revenue in this market, with US$136bn in 2024.
Brazil's domestic flight market has seen a surge in demand, with airlines increasing their flight frequencies and launching new routes to cater to the growing number of domestic travelers.

Key regions: Germany, China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Thailand

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Analyst Opinion

The Flights market in Brazil has been experiencing significant growth in recent years, driven by a combination of customer preferences, market trends, local special circumstances, and underlying macroeconomic factors.

Customer preferences: Customers in Brazil have shown a strong preference for air travel due to its convenience and time-saving benefits. With the country's vast size and diverse geography, flying has become the preferred mode of transportation for both domestic and international travel. Additionally, the increasing middle class and rising disposable incomes have made air travel more affordable and accessible to a larger segment of the population.

Trends in the market: One of the key trends in the Brazilian Flights market is the increasing demand for low-cost carriers (LCCs). LCCs have gained popularity among price-sensitive travelers who are looking for affordable airfares without compromising on safety and quality. These carriers have been able to capture a significant market share by offering competitive prices, streamlined operations, and a wide range of destinations. Another trend in the market is the growth of online travel agencies (OTAs) and mobile applications. With the increasing penetration of smartphones and internet access, more customers are turning to online platforms to search for and book flights. OTAs and mobile applications offer convenience, transparency, and a wide range of options, making it easier for customers to compare prices and find the best deals.

Local special circumstances: Brazil's large population and its position as a major tourist destination contribute to the growth of the Flights market. The country is known for its natural beauty, cultural attractions, and vibrant cities, attracting both domestic and international tourists. This influx of visitors creates a constant demand for flights, leading to increased competition among airlines and driving market growth. Additionally, Brazil's hosting of major international events, such as the FIFA World Cup and the Olympic Games, has further stimulated the Flights market. These events attract a large number of visitors from around the world, resulting in increased air travel demand and the expansion of flight routes and capacities.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Brazilian economy has been recovering from a period of recession, which has had a positive impact on the Flights market. As the economy improves, consumer confidence increases, leading to higher travel demand. Additionally, the strengthening of the Brazilian currency against other currencies has made international travel more affordable for Brazilians, further boosting the Flights market. Furthermore, Brazil's strategic location in South America and its growing connections with other countries have contributed to the expansion of the Flights market. The country serves as a major hub for both domestic and international flights, attracting airlines to establish routes and increase frequencies. This connectivity has not only facilitated business and leisure travel but also stimulated tourism and trade, driving the growth of the Flights market in Brazil. In conclusion, the Flights market in Brazil is experiencing significant growth due to customer preferences for air travel, the emergence of low-cost carriers and online platforms, local special circumstances such as tourism and major events, and underlying macroeconomic factors such as economic recovery and increased connectivity. These factors have created a favorable environment for the development and expansion of the Flights market in Brazil.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on bookings, revenues, and online shares of flights.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a bottom-up approach, building on a specific rationale for each market. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use financial reports, third-party studies and reports, federal statistical offices, industry associations, and price data. To estimate the number of users and bookings, we furthermore use data from the Statista Consumer Insigths Global survey. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as demographic data, GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and device usage. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, ARIMA, which allows time series forecasts, accounting for stationarity of data and enabling short-term estimates. Additionally, simple linear regression, Holt-Winters forecast, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing methods are applied.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The market is updated twice a year in case market dynamics change.